ENERGY PRODUCT - ROMANIAN DAY-AHEAD MARKET

Day-ahead price forecasting for the Romanian market. 96 intervals a day, checked against reality.

The platform forecasts electricity prices on the Romanian Day-Ahead Market at 15-minute intervals, then automatically compares the estimates against the prices that actually settled.

Back to Energy Open the live product

PT15M RESOLUTION

P10-P90 BANDS

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Product overview

Forecast the day. Then check the forecast.

Every delivery day is published as 96 fifteen-minute intervals, each with a P50 estimate and a P10-P90 uncertainty band. A chart shows the shape of the day; a table shows the numbers behind it.

Once the market settles, realised prices are placed next to the forecast and every interval gets a signed error. The day is scored with MAE against a baseline, so accuracy is visible instead of assumed.

PT15MP10 / P50 / P90ENTSO-E 12.1.DBacktestingMAE vs baselineCET/CEST

Open pzu.holistion.com See the energy branch

Intervals published
for every delivery day

15m

Market resolution
matched end to end

Quantiles per interval
P10, P50 and P90

Automatic backtest
against realised prices

02 Product views

The forecast, and the
error right next to it.

Representative screens from the live product, showing how a delivery day is published and then reviewed.

PZU day-ahead price forecast chart with P10-P90 band — **Forecast chart** The P50 curve with its P10-P90 band, overlaid with realised prices once the day has settled. Average price, forecast peak and error are summarised above the chart.

PZU interval table with P10, P50, P90, realised price and error — **Interval table** Every interval with P10, P50, P90, the realised price and the signed error, in both market time and Romanian local time, so a specific hour can be checked instead of read off a curve.

03 How it works

From market data
to a scored day.

The same five steps run for every delivery day.

Ingest

Market and system data for the delivery day is collected and aligned to the 15-minute grid.

Forecast

Each interval receives a P50 estimate and a P10-P90 band instead of a single number.

Publish

The full day appears as a chart and a value table, with average price, forecast peak and band width called out.

Compare

When realised prices arrive, they are loaded next to the forecast and each interval gets a signed error.

Score

The day is summarised with MAE and measured against a baseline, so drift shows up early.

Day-ahead price forecasting for the Romanian market. 96 intervals a day, checked against reality.

Forecast the day. Then check the forecast.

The forecast, and theerror right next to it.

From market datato a scored day.